r w kennedy said:
Good evening Pamela, I hope you have been well.
Lario is an operator who could actually drill wells and with that being said, it depends on their stake in the spacing whether they will be permitted to drill a well or not as the company with the greatest leasehold has first dibbs on it. It does not have to be a majority, just the largest leasehold. Lario appears to like to take positions and be the non-operator as much as they like drilling wells and also assign areas they have started development on to larger players. Pamela, Lario may not even hold your lease anymore, they could well have assigned it to someone else for a quick profit at some point in the past or more recently want to unload it on someone else because the area has not been active recently and getting some of their money back would be better than nothing.
Pamela, I looked at the GIS map and I don't see where your spacing has been permitted in the time period of your lease. I see no permits within miles of your spacing and no rig symbols. I think this is probably because of the success that Samson had in the area. The nearest well to 162-92-35 was drilled just south of your spacing from 161-92-13 by Samson and they tried hard in my opinion to drill a good well 40 frack stages, no mention of ceramic (artificial propant sand) but went to a fair amount of expense and effort and the results were only ok, 33,658 bbl oil in 8 months, on pump from the start and down to 2,682 bbl oil in April. This Samson well is going to be profitable as long as it keeps producing but 6-7 years or more is not the payout companies really want. Lario wants to drill wells that are home runs, if they drill a well that is not a home run, it looks like they would rather pass it off to someone else to operate and recoup their investment so they can search for more home runs and speculate on more unproved acres.
Pamela, $300 per acre is low for acres you intend to drill but to a smaller operation it might look like money out the window or good money after bad if the area is inactive because they could always come back and try and lease you for $600 if things look up 5-6-7 years from now.
Pamela, that is what I see, there is oil to be had there but your spacing is probably far down the priority list. Have a great evening/morning/day,
Robert
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