Any word on production on the Tonkawa for May yet? Fritz you got any indicators on your side??
RRC shows May production at 290,628 mcf with 12 barrels of condensate.
Still going down but since March the rate of decline in it’s daily average production has decreased every month, from a 25% decline in March to 15% in May.
Thanks Dusty 1 for the update. A new rig has started drilling in Austin county about 6 miles northeast of the Tonkawa just off Cutoff Rd. In Shelby TX. Its looking like another location is being worked on just south of Dockal Rd. This is south of hwy 159. This location is about 4 miles northeast of the Tonkawa also in Fayette/Austin county area. 2 very large rigs are drilling in fayette county just a mile to the southwest of ellinger TX and another about a mile to the northwest of Ellinger. A real flurry of activity. Hope it keeps up.
Hello Hottshott! I found this forum a little while back and find it very helpful. I appreciate yours and others insights on the topics discussed here. My three sisters and I had inherited our parents property and part of the Arno Kautz estate which lie a little less than a mile east of the Tonkawa unit. I try to keep my siblings informed as well as to what is going on with production numbers, pipeline and seimic survey activity, etc. Since we live a little over two hours away from the property, we really appreciate the information we get from this forum.
At the moment, I was wondering if anyone has seen any evidence of the seismic survey activity going on in the area around the Tonkawa Unit. DLM contacted me a week or two ago indicating they’d be going onto our property within a few weeks.
Dear Justme2, yes about 4 weeks ago I noticed a group of seismic guys working around the Lone Oak, TX area and seen them at several other locations in that vicinity. I asked one how is it looking and They say that They can’t discuss it. Lol The Tonkawa unit 1H was designated a “tight hole” about a year ago. This is oilfield jargon for they don’t release much information. They have still not released the final initial reports on the initial production rate, choke etc. And presumably by paying a monthly fine to the RRC They don’t have to. Eventually They will. From the first months production of 682 mcfg in one month this is a phenomenal amount of natural gas! It has been slowly going down but the rate of decline like Dusty 1 reported has slowed. With it being a " tight hole" They evidently don’t want the competition to know that for the future that area around the Tonkawa is very promising. They only drilled horizontally in one direction to the southeast but the potential is there for more to be drilled maybe from the same pad area in other directions all production then will just Keep sweetening the pot. The only negative thing for the next couple years is there is a glut of natural gas but maybe once those trade Tariffs with China hopefully mend and that gas exporting terminal is built south along the coast then prices will rise perhaps to a more favorable 3.00 to 3.50 range. Let’s Keep our fingers crossed but in approximately 6 months the current Tonkawa has produced nearly 2.75 billion cubic feet of gas. A truly phenomenal amount especially since the Tonkawa was originally called a wildcat. Any time I see or hear anything new from sources I’ll post on this forum. Take care.
Wow. Thanks Hottshott. That is very promising to hear. Lets hope and pray it works out good for everyone in that neck of the woods.
I look forward to hearing further updates. Thanks alot!
Dusty 1 did you get a production report on Tonkawa for June yet? I was just wondering if decline has lessened. I guess with these low natural gas prices it doesn’t make a whole lot of difference but I guess least its something. Lol
Hello Hottshott, I saw no report for June’s production yet on the TRC website. I expect it will be posted any day now. Unfortunately I have noticed natural gas prices continued to drop too. Would be nice to see the prices go up. But something is better than nothing. On another note, I called DLM recently and asked what the status was on the seismic survey in our area and they said it was in the preliminary stages still - mapping and flagging the territory. They said I would know when they were finished when I no longer see flags on the ground.
Justme2 or Dusty 1 any report on production on the Tonkawa for the month of June?
RRC shows June production at 243,260 mcf. So it looks like the monthly decline rate on a daily average basis was about 13.5% which is a lower than than the rate in May.
Dusty 1 do you think in the distant future ( I know it’s dependent on better natural gas prices) but do you think that They will drill from the same pad area in other directions? RamTex west of Fayetteville went in as many as 4 directions.
Well the great mystery of the Tonkawa and the surrounding leased area around the 1,240 acre unit continue to get even more mysterious. Last week word was out that the Tonkawa was nearly depleted and that the leases surrounding it were for sale. Most are coming due Later this month as 3 years have passed by. It would seem even more mysterious as the Tonkawa has produced over 3 billion cubic feet of gas in about 7 months according to many a phenomenal amount of natural gas. Also after constructing a 15 acre retaining pond, pipeline etc. would it seem likely that only one horizontal well was drilled to be drilled and then forgotten? Are they perhaps waiting to see the results of the seismic activity throughout the area? Anyone got any guesses??
I doubt very seriously the Tonkawa is depleted. I would guess more it has to do with the price of natural gas.
Hello Hottschott, My guess is they will make a decision on additional well drilling(s) after the seismic survey is completed. In the meantime, as long as the current Tonkawa Unit 1H well is producing, don’t our current leases will remain in force beyond the first three year term? If this is not your understanding, let me know. Thanks. I guess time will tell, after the three year term is up, what is going to happen.
Just2me, once your in the unit They will no longer have to lease. As long as it produces even if its just a few days in a year we’re locked into the unit. Outside of the unit They I’m thinking probably lease again. There was word that ( before the price of natural gas dropped so low) of possibly drilling in 3 other directions from the present Tonkawa site or even moving around within the 1240 acre unit. It is very likely they are waiting to see what those latest seismic results are. They worked a very large area from west of brushy to Willow Springs and even near bleiblerville.
I definitely think that with the Tonkawa producing nearly 3 billion cubic feet of gas in 7 months that there will definitely be more activity in the unit or nearby. Its decline was a little bit fast but maybe it will smooth out a little bit in the future.
Dusty 1, did you see what the production was in July on the Tonkawa? Also my last check showed about 140 bbls of skim oil, what’s that?
221,664 MCF for July is what I saw on the TRRC website. Looks like the decline is slowing. Hopefully the prices rose some since the previous month’s production.
Just Me2 yes the decline has really slowed. That’s a good sign. Perhaps if we can get natural gas prices back up to a decent 3.50 to 4.00$ that would benefit everyone. Thanks for the update.
EOG finally decided to file a completion report on the Tonkawa last week. It’s taken so long and there is already so much production history on the well I doubt anyone cares, but for what it’s worth I’m attaching the G-1 and G-5 they filed with RRC below.
They show in a 24 hour test on 12/22/18 the Tonkawa made 17,662 mcf of gas and no condensate. That’s kind of funny since the production EOG reported for the following month of January showed it averaged over 22,000 mfc/day for that whole month.
The only other thing I thought was interesting, and I hope someone will correct me if I’m looking at this wrong, is that it seems to show the Austin Chalk is over 450’ thick in this well, which is a lot.
The Formation Record on the last page of the G-1 shows they encountered the Austin Chalk at a vertical depth of 14296’ and the first page of the G-1 says the plug back depth (where I’m thinking they turned and drilled the horizontal leg) was at vertical depth of 14749’. They may not have put the lateral all the way at the base of the Chalk but that seems to say the Chalk measures at least 450’ feet there.
EOG - Tonkawa Completion Rpt G-1.pdf (215.6 KB)
EOG - Tonkawa Initial Potential Completion Report G-5.pdf (4.2 KB)